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Forex Commentary

ECB to hold interest rates at 4.25% today by Forex Strategy Team
Updated 05:27 GMT, August 07, 2008

EUR/USD (1.5437)

European & US sessions forecast levels: 1.5360/1.5515

Trend Sessions: European: Neutral

US: Neutral/Upward

Market Focus: 8:30 AM Initial Claims, 10:00 AM Pending Home Sales, 2:00 AM German Trade Balance, 2:45 AM French Trade Balance, 4:00 AM Italian Industrial Production, 6:00 AM German Industrial Production, 7:45 AM ECB Interest rates decision, 8:30 AM ECB Press Conference.

Daily Strategy: The most important event today is the European Central Bank Interest rates decision. It is expecting ECB to hold the interest rates at 4.25%. 45 minutes after the decision is much more interesting. The press conference of ECB probably will stop the raising dollar, as Trichet will focus over the high inflation in the Euro Zone. The other factors cause the forex movements these days are the low oil price and the mix US economic data. If Trichet miss to talk about the inflation as main concern for the euro zone the dollar probably will continue to strength against the euro and could reach 1.52 in the coming week. Otherwise the recovery of the dollar will stop, as the trading will back at the levels of 1.56.

Forex Forecasts by FS Team
 

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