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Forex Commentary

EUR/USD can fall to 1.18 at the end of the year by Forex Strategy Team
Updated 06:29 GMT, November 13, 2008

EUR/USD (1.2471)

European & US sessions forecast levels: 1.2360/1.2670

Trend Sessions: European: Neutral

US: Neutral

Market Focus: 8:30 AM Initial Claims, Trade Balance, 2:00 PM Treasury Budget, 2:00 AM German Prelim GDP, 2:45 AM French CPI, 4:00 AM ECB Monthly Bulletin.

Daily Strategy: The starting recession in the Euro Zone so fast make the euro weak against the dollar. It will be necessary new interest rates cut in the Euro Zone for fast exit by the recession. The dollar will continue to rise against the euro, as at the end of the year the trading level will fall to 1.18. For today is possible temporary correction up to 1.26 but as overall the tendency for the dollar gains remain. The US data today will show continue problems with the US jobs market. The Trade Deficit will fall for a short time caused by the recession and low oil prices but is expecting to rise in 2009.

Forex Forecasts by FS Team
 

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